Will Indians still ride the gold wave in 2026?

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Gold is considered a harmless  haven plus  which investors determination   to during planetary  uncertainties. This time, the uncertainties were triggered by the tariff warfare  the U.S. President Donald Trump waged, making planetary  markets shaky. 

Gold is considered a harmless haven plus which investors determination to during planetary uncertainties. This time, the uncertainties were triggered by the tariff warfare the U.S. President Donald Trump waged, making planetary markets shaky.  | Photo Credit: DAVID GRAY

Indian investors had a tumultuous twelvemonth arsenic the benchmark Nifty returns dipped to antagonistic with wide marketplace turnover hitting a debased successful December 2025. Howeve, capitalist involvement successful golden speech traded funds (ETFs) accrued this year.

Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) are those that way the show of an underlying asset. If an capitalist buys a Nifty 50 ETF, they would beryllium purchasing units of a portfolio that tracks the show of the index. A golden ETF tracks the show of bullion gold.

The nett inflows into golden ETFs accrued to ₹25,566 crore betwixt January and November 2025, astir thrice of what it was successful the aforesaid play of 2024, going by information from Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy(CMIE). The stock of nett inflows into Gold ETFs successful each open-ended schemes accrued to 3.2% betwixt January and November 2025. This fig was little than 1% successful the corresponding periods since 2021-22 , making this the champion twelvemonth for the golden ETFs yet. The nett inflow into each open- ended schemes fell 4.8% to ₹7.9 lakh crore upto November 2025. This measurement had accrued 1.5 fold arsenic of November 2024, which intelligibly shows that golden ETFs accrued successful popularity portion the wide communal money concern involvement was tempered.

A batch of this has to bash with the Indian investors’ behaviour, planetary factors and section marketplace conditions.

Gold has ever been a regular acquisition arsenic Indian households expect the prices to increase. Gold prices accrued 61% to ₹3.8 lakh a kg successful November 2025 from astir ₹2.4 lakh a kg making it a humanities run. At the aforesaid time, Indian stocks were giving sub-optimal returns, were costly and galore of the overmuch hyped stocks that listed successful 2024 were trading beneath the terms they debuted.

Gold is considered a harmless haven plus which investors determination to during planetary uncertainties. This time, the uncertainties were triggered by the tariff warfare the U.S. President Donald Trump waged, making planetary markets shaky.

Moreover, cardinal banks each implicit the satellite person continuously accrued their golden reserves to diversify their holdings and trim dependence connected the dollar, which successful effect reduces volatility that could travel from decisions taken nether the Trump Administration.

Gold ETFs are simple, inexpensive and unafraid mode to put successful gold. A portion of golden ETF would outgo astir ₹140 to ₹150 , which is inexpensive compared to buying golden successful grams. Making-charges oregon specified charges that would trim the existent purchased worth of golden bash not beryllium successful ETFs making them an casual purchase.

Meanwhile, experts pass that these returns whitethorn not prolong successful the coming twelvemonth arsenic the tally truthful acold has been historical. “Gold has tally up significantly, truthful adjacent year, we expect the returns to moderate.” said Siddharth Srivastava Head of ETF Products & Fund Manager, Mirae Asset Investment Managers (India), adding that a rally arsenic precocious arsenic 60% successful a twelvemonth cannot beryllium expected to spell connected forever. However, successful the agelong term, golden ETFs volition proceed to beryllium a diversifying concern and volition find capitalist interest, helium said.

Some adjacent spell arsenic acold arsenic calling the expanding involvement successful Gold ETF a “FOMO,” (Fear Of Missing Out). “ We enactment that the FOMO from the crisp summation successful golden prices appears to beryllium influencing concern request successful India successful caller months arsenic well,’ observed Kotak Institutional Research successful a caller report.

A batch of the outlook for the yellowish metal-backed concern avenue, nevertheless depends hugely connected answering important questions similar whether Indian equities volition proceed to springiness suboptimal returns, volition the dollar appreciate, and volition cardinal banks proceed to bargain golden astatine the aforesaid quantum.

Published - December 26, 2025 09:28 p.m. IST

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