The near-term outlook for the system remains favorable and is well-positioned to prolong its precocious maturation momentum, driven by consumption, investment, and productivity-enhancing reforms, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) officials said. This was portion of the State of the Economy section successful the February variation of the RBI Bulletin released connected Friday (February 20, 2026).
“Inflation is expected to stay benign and adjacent the ostentation target, providing a affirmative maturation ostentation equilibrium successful the adjacent term,” officials emphasised.
However, they said planetary economical outlook and fiscal marketplace conditions were successful a authorities of flux, being pulled by divers signals, imparting immoderate magnitude of volatility to marketplace movements.

“While the simmering geopolitical tensions, nationalist indebtedness sustainability concerns successful Advanced Economies (AEs), stretched valuation of AI firms and disruptions of AI connected bundle services industry, are posing antagonistic hazard to outlook, robust macro- economical information releases including firm earnings, connected the different hand, person added to the affirmative sentiments,” they stated.
Stating that the completion of the India-EU escaped commercialized negotiations successful end-January and the consequent interim commercialized statement betwixt India and U.S. would apt to play a important relation successful the coming years by improving marketplace access, enhancing export competitiveness, and integrating Indian firms much profoundly into planetary worth chains, they said, adding that it has led to a alteration successful capitalist sentiments successful the contiguous term.
“Foreign portfolio concern into equity and indebtedness conception staged a comeback successful February. On the fiscal front, the continued committedness to fiscal consolidation and indebtedness sustainability signals prudent macroeconomic management,” they pointed out.
They added that the gradual simplification successful the fiscal deficit, combined with a sustained accent connected superior expenditure would assemblage successful backstage concern and amended productive capacity. “Support to states for superior concern is besides apt to reenforce sub-national maturation and infrastructure development.”

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