IUML weighs winnability factor against three-term cap ahead of Kerala Assembly polls

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Due to governmental constraints, the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) enactment appears to beryllium weighing a strict headdress connected legislative tenures against the proven winnability of seasoned leaders to safeguard the party’s occurrence complaint and bargaining powerfulness erstwhile challenging the Congress enactment during the contentious seat-sharing process successful the United Democratic Front (UDF) for the upcoming Assembly polls.

Previously, the enactment had adopted an electoral norm of denying tickets to leaders who person served 3 presumption (15 years) successful the State Assembly. Several elder leaders, including M.K. Muneer, P.K. Kunhalikutty, and Manjalamkuzhi Ali volition not beryllium capable to contention if the enactment strictly enforces the cap. However, arsenic successful the past, galore of these leaders are apt to beryllium granted exceptions, sources said.

​Simultaneously, the enactment faces mounting unit to tract younger candidates, including office-bearers from its pupil and younker wings, coupled with a persistent request for pistillate representation. The party’s erstwhile effort to diversify was tempered by a setback erstwhile it fielded Noorbina Rasheed, replacing Mr. Muneer successful the Kozhikode South Assembly segment, which resulted successful the nonaccomplishment of the spot successful 2021. Thus, the enactment is present exercising a dense dose of caution successful its campaigner selection.

Deputy CM post

Besides, the enactment is determined to amended its erstwhile electoral show to reenforce its assertion for the Deputy Chief Minister post, should the UDF instrumentality to power. This ambition is rooted successful its skilful brinkmanship that secured it a 5th ministerial berth successful the 2011-2016 Oommen Chandy ministry and an further Rajya Sabha spot successful 2024. Interestingly, the enactment has 2 Rajya Sabha seats compared to the azygous spot held by the Congress from Kerala, highlighting its formidable negotiating capacity.

​This clout is already disposable astatine the grassroots level, wherever the IUML has dominated cardinal positions successful section bodies adjacent without commanding numbers. Having demonstrated specified tactical dominance successful civic elections, the enactment is expected to adhere to a strategy successful the last enactment of candidates until a ceremonial seat-sharing statement is reached. While ensuring veterans are deployed lone wherever triumph is astir assured, it would not beryllium astonishing if MLAs perceived to person performed poorly were denied tickets, adjacent if they person not yet completed 15 years successful office, sources indicated.

‘Just informal talks’

​Meanwhile, IUML State wide caput P.M.A. Salam said that lone informal talks were taking spot regarding the three-term cap. “There has been nary ceremonial treatment wrong the enactment connected this issue. Whether a three-term headdress should beryllium imposed and whether exemptions should beryllium granted volition beryllium discussed and decided collectively,” helium maintained.

​”The League has not yet begun the campaigner enactment process and volition lone instrumentality it up aft completing seat-sharing talks with the Congress,” helium added.

Published - January 12, 2026 06:46 p.m. IST

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