Can the Chinese government arrest its ageing problem? | Explained

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Elderly radical   remainder  astatine  a parkland  successful  Fuyang successful  eastbound   China's Anhui state  connected  September 13, 2024.

Elderly radical remainder astatine a parkland successful Fuyang successful eastbound China's Anhui state connected September 13, 2024. | Photo Credit: AFP

The communicative truthful far: The Chinese colonisation has been consistently declining since 2022. As per the UN, by 2050 the Chinese colonisation volition beryllium astir 1.3 cardinal from a highest of 1.4 billion. This besides means that the ratio of young to aged volition alteration and that astir 40% of the colonisation volition beryllium implicit 60. The oft repeated thought of China getting older earlier it gets richer seems unavoidable. In the hopes of avoiding this precise challenge, Chinese President Xi Jinping had abolished the one-child argumentation successful 2016 and replaced it with a two-child policy. In 2021, helium extended it to a three-child policy. However, the diminution has continued.

What policies did they implement?

There has been a agelong database of policies which the Chinese authorities has implemented to mitigate the ageing challenge. The astir caller 1 was implemented connected January 1, 2026. The authorities added 13% VAT connected contraceptives and condoms. In 2025, the authorities announced a subsidy of 3,600 yuan (equivalent to $500 dollars) for caller parents for the archetypal 3 years.

There has besides been a waiver of fees for students successful the past twelvemonth of kindergarten portion besides reducing the fees of kindergartens successful the backstage sector. Moreover, the salaries of kindergarten teachers person been included successful fiscal guarantees to guarantee that they are timely.

Beijing besides raised the status property past year. For men, this stands present astatine 63 (up from 60) and for women it is 58 (up from 55 successful achromatic collar jobs) and 55 (up from 50 successful bluish collar jobs). This was adopted not lone to negociate the declining workforce but besides to postpone the added strain connected the authorities with regards to pension funds. The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) has predicted that astatine the existent complaint the authorities pension money volition tally retired of wealth by 2035, owed to lesser fig of radical joining the workforce. China has besides accrued the property cut-off for definite civilian work exams from 35 to 38 (people with masters and doctoral degrees tin use till the property of 43). There is besides a authorities backed run to promote young radical to wed and person children and to physique a “birth-friendly society”. However, the Chinese authorities continues to insert itself successful the lives of its citizens arsenic determination person been instances of officials calling young joined women asking their menstruation dates and their plans of having children. There is besides an effort to trim the ‘bride price’ (transfer of wealth from groom’s household to the bride’s) too. Moreover, the authorities has plans to present emotion courses for azygous students successful universities.

What are the challenges?

For Mr. Xi, expanding birthrates is linked to the ‘rejuvenation of the Chinese nation’. At the 20th Party Congress, Mr. Xi asserted, “We volition amended the colonisation improvement strategy, found a argumentation strategy to boost commencement rates, and bring down the costs of gestation and childbirth, childrearing and schooling”. Further, successful a 2021 speech, Mr. Xi argued that Chinese women should beryllium “good wives, bully mothers”, and “link their aboriginal and destiny with the aboriginal and destiny of the motherland”. As per Xi Jinping, the onus to negociate the Chinese population, rising oregon falling, is connected the shoulders of women.

While connected the aboveground it seems that the Chinese authorities has been undertaking a myriad of steps to boost kid birth, they each look to beryllium failing. The one-child policy, rising costs of surviving and healthcare, the precocious outgo of bearing and raising children, precocious unemployment, each play a important relation erstwhile it comes to household planning. The Chinese authorities is besides struggling to negociate the existing sex gap. During the one-child policy, determination was a propulsion for bearing antheral children. There are present 30 cardinal much men past women successful China.

Gunjan Singh is Associate Professor astatine OP Jindal Global University.

Published - January 19, 2026 08:30 americium IST

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