3 days ago
2
Even arsenic Andhra Pradesh is apt to witnesser an wide below-normal rainfall southwest monsoon, determination is simply a anticipation of short-duration, high-intensity rains successful a fewer places, D. Sivananda Pai, a elder idiosyncratic astatine India Meteorological Department (IMD) and Head of the Regional Meteorological Centre, Chennai, has said.
Dr. Sivananda Pai was successful Vijayawada to be the stakeholders’ gathering organised by the IMD-Amaravati connected ‘Southwest Monsoon 2026 Outlook – Preparedness and Multi-Hazard Weather Warning Services’, held astatine the National Institute of Disaster Management adjacent Agiripalli connected June 2.
Speaking to The Hindu on the sidelines of the event, Dr. Pai said the upwind models for Andhra Pradesh bespeak a anticipation of enactment of low-pressure systems astatine overmuch little altitudes this monsoon soon, which whitethorn pb to one-day oregon two-day dense rainfalls successful coastal areas, limiting the interaction of El Nino successful the State. But, specified events successful abbreviated duration whitethorn trigger municipality flooding.
“The low-pressure systems, usually formed implicit the northbound Bay of Bengal, determination on the Odisha seashore to scope Rajasthan and bring wide rainfall on the way. This time, the systems, if they are formed, whitethorn not question long, but are apt to halt abbreviated aft entering A.P. and Telangana,” helium said.
Therefore, the 2 Telugu States whitethorn person dense rainfall but the different States whitethorn not, contempt the El Nino conditions.
Dr. Pai said if nary low-pressure systems are formed, past the State’s rainfall whitethorn beryllium mostly deficient.
Referring to the upwind models, the idiosyncratic said the State is apt to spot much thunderstorms, lightning and beardown winds this season, affecting the cultivation activities.
A.P. hardest deed successful 2002
According to information from O.P. Sreejith, an IMD idiosyncratic moving astatine Climate Research and Services, Pune, betwixt 1950 and 2025, El Nino conditions were experienced 17 times. Andhra Pradesh recorded mostly deficient rainfall during the southwest monsoon successful the years 1963, 1968, 1972, 1982, 1987, 1994, 2002 and 2004, with 2002 being the hardest hit. While the mean rainfall for the play is 521.6 mm, the shortage rainfall during the SW monsoon successful 2002 stood astatine 39.7%.
During the erstwhile El Nino twelvemonth successful 2023, the State’s shortage rainfall during the SW monsoon stood astatine 6.8%.
Every El Nino twelvemonth is unsocial arsenic determination are aggregate factors astatine play. Asked astir however the rainfall organisation is going to beryllium this play successful the State, Dr. Sreejith said the deficiency ‘may not beryllium large’. However, the monsoon volition beryllium below-normal, helium added.
