7 months ago
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Asian countries' increasing enactment for c seizure and retention (CCS) to trim fossil substance emissions could effect successful astir 25 cardinal tonnes of further greenhouse gases by 2050, undermining the Paris Agreement and exposing their economies to risks, according to a caller study released connected Monday (October 6, 2025).
Carbon seizure and retention (CCS) is simply a exertion designed to trap c dioxide (CO2) emissions from sources specified arsenic powerfulness plants and concern facilities, forestall them from entering the atmosphere, and store them underground successful geological formations.
The survey by Climate Analytics, a planetary clime subject and argumentation institute, assessed existent and prospective CCS deployment successful China, India, Japan, South Korea, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore and Australia, which unneurotic relationship for much than fractional of planetary fossil substance usage and greenhouse state emissions.
It said emissions from galore Asian economies, led by India and different processing countries successful South and Southeast Asia, amusement nary imminent motion of peaking and rapidly declining, but indispensable rapidly scope this tipping point.
While Asia's biggest emitters, China and India, are mostly disconnected from the Japan-South Korea-Southeast Asia-Australia CCS nexus, their aboriginal pathways volition yet astir power planetary clime action. China already has the second-largest CCS pipeline successful Asia, aft Australia, portion India has small notable beingness truthful far.
The study noted that India, a large shaper of alloy and cement, could progressively crook to CCS successful these hard-to-abate sectors. But cheaper and little risky options specified arsenic renewable energy, electrification and greenish hydrogen are already disposable to code concern emissions.
"Leading determination emitters China and India person little wide CCS plans. China already has a beardown CCS presence, but it is besides the astir precocious state successful deploying zero-emissions technologies. If China oregon India crook much decisively to aboriginal CCS dependence, it could person disastrous clime results," the study said.
India is already the world's second-largest alloy user and is expected to spot yearly request maturation of 6.3% betwixt 2025 and 2030. Cement depletion successful India and different South Asian countries could turn by much than 40% during 2025-2035, the survey said.
The study besides warned that CCS projects worldwide person consistently underperformed, with seizure rates often person to 50% alternatively than the 90-95% claimed by industry. Deploying CCS successful the powerfulness assemblage could besides marque energy astatine slightest doubly arsenic costly arsenic renewable vigor backed by storage.
Japan and South Korea person provided extended fiscal and argumentation enactment to CCS, portion Australia and Southeast Asian countries are positioning themselves arsenic c retention hubs. China has begun supporting caller projects nether its 2023 Plan for Green and Low-Carbon Technology Demonstration.
"We find a beardown anticipation that Asian countries could summation their enactment for CCS done to 2050, risking a important lock-in of unabated fossil fuels and stranded plus costs, fto unsocial risks to the satellite achieving the Paris Agreement 1.5 degrees Celsius warming limit," said James Bowen, pb writer of the report.
"Asia is astatine a crossroads: portion these countries haven't yet gone down a precocious CCS route, galore person tailored their CCS policies to support their fossil substance industry, particularly successful Japan, South Korea and Australia. This is simply a precise risky strategy, not lone to the Paris Agreement, but to these economies themselves," Climate Analytics CEO Bill Hare said.
The study said a "deliberate low-CCS pathway" by prioritising renewable vigor expansion, electrification and ratio would beryllium a much cost-effective and climate-aligned enactment for the region.
