​Addressing an anomaly: On stubble burning, burnt-area estimates

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In a connection to Parliament, the Environment Ministry said that Punjab and Haryana had collectively reduced “fire incidences” by 90% successful 2025 compared to 2022. This is successful notation to the burning of workplace stubble, a accepted shortcut to rapidly shed fields of paddy remnants and hole them for a 2nd harvest — successful this case, wheat — but that has successful the past decennary and a fractional been linked to spikes successful aerial contamination successful October-November successful Delhi and surrounding cities.

As portion of steps to code this, the Centre and the State governments person been employing a carrot-and-stick attack — fining farmers but, simultaneously, besides providing subsidised workplace equipment, combined harvesters and tractors arsenic good arsenic incentivising them to cod stubble and merchantability them to thermal plants for co-firing. There is small nonstop grounds to amusement that these measures person reduced the publication of stubble burning to Delhi’s post-monsoon aerial quality. That would necessitate utilizing mass-spectrograph measures to analyse the chemic make-up of pollutants implicit clip and hint the weightage of stubble burning. That investigation is unavailable and truthful the authorities has been utilizing proxies specified arsenic counting whether the fig of progressive fires disposable by satellites person been declining to measure this metric. Since 2020 determination has been a diminution successful fires successful Punjab and Haryana, prompting the authorities to instrumentality credit. It turns retired that this was a pyrrhic victory. When images from a antithetic outer were utilized to compute different parameter called ‘burnt area’ — the existent onshore country that had been burned — the simplification was a much gradual 30%: from astir 31,500 quadrate kilometres successful 2022 to 19,700 sq.km successful 2025 (as of November 25, this year), an autarkic probe outfit has found. Using information from different acceptable of satellites called Meteosat, unambiguous grounds emerged that workplace fires had shifted towards the evening. Unlike the different satellites, which orbit the poles, this 1 is ‘geostationary’, meaning it continuously looks astatine the aforesaid spot. The Centre has been utilizing occurrence count-reduction based connected polar-satellite data, which passes done India betwixt 10 a.m. and 1.30 p.m. Since 2022, reports had been emerging that farmers had shifted their burning towards evening precisely to debar detection by these satellites. The Supreme Court of India, erstwhile apprised of this successful 2024, had expressly told Environment Ministry bodies to ascertain ‘burnt area’ to gauge stubble burning trends. Moreover, fixed that satellites person antithetic solution powers, determination is nary knowing what the existent number of fires is astatine present. The Centre, however, has inactive not made year-wise burnt-area estimates public. Being disingenuous with information volition lone accelerate the erosion of nationalist assurance successful the government’s assertion connected tackling aerial pollution. The Centre indispensable instantly determination to code this.

Published - December 15, 2025 12:10 americium IST

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